Art's Charts

November 2011

Art's Charts

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IWM Trades with Tight Range as TLT Holds its Breakout

by Arthur Hill

Guess what? Reports indicate that the Euro-zone bailout fund is smaller than EU finance ministers once thought. There is also a "secret" report suggesting that Italy is on the verge of blowing up the Euro zone. Yes, the rumors continue to fly... Read More 

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Stocks Gap Up and Hold Gaps as SPY Forms Island Reversal

by Arthur Hill

Stocks opened strong and finished strong with a broad advance on Monday. While it is still considered an oversold bounce within a bigger downtrend, there is room for further upside before resistance from broken support levels comes into play... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AZO, DDS, LH, SUN, TGT

by Arthur Hill

DDS Forms Pennant after Sharp Decline. LH Challenges Flag Resistance. SUN Gaps above Wedge Resistance. Plus AZO and TGT. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks and Euro Poised for Oversold Bounce

by Arthur Hill

Stock futures are trading sharply higher on news (rumors) of an Italian bailout. Also note that it is a big week on the economic front. See the listing of economic reports further down in this commentary. Market moving rumors and innuendo are all part of the game these days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Turns Negative as Breakouts Fail

by Arthur Hill

Monday's sharp decline was enough to trigger a slew of downgrades in the indicator summary. I noted on Friday that the indicator was already looking vulnerable and it would not take much to tilt the balance back to the bears... Read More 

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Stocks Consolidate as Treasuries Stay Strong

by Arthur Hill

The stock market can fall simply from a lack of buying pressure. In other words, it does not always take an increase in selling pressure to produce a decline. It is pretty easy to come up with reasons not to buy... Read More 

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SPY Becomes Oversold as TLT Becomes Overbought

by Arthur Hill

With the major index ETFs down 5-6% in the last six trading days, the market is short-term oversold and this could pave the way for a consolidation or oversold bounce... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: ALTR, IR, M, NVDA, URBN, WDC

by Arthur Hill

NVDA Buck the Market with Big Surge. URBN Firms with Falling Wedge. WDC Forms Harami with two Inside Days. Plus ALTR, IR and M. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Forms Pennant as TLT Holds Breakout

by Arthur Hill

The risk-off trade remains the flavor of the month. Stocks broke down last week as the Dollar and Treasuries moved to their highest levels for November... Read More 

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Indicator Summary is Still Positive, but Looks Vulnerable

by Arthur Hill

Even though there is no change in the indicator summary, it would not take much to tilt the balance back to the bears. With this week's sharp decline, the major index ETFs are on the verge of support breaks that would question the October breakouts... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Breakouts in TLT and UUP Show a Return to Risk-off

by Arthur Hill

The risk-off trade took center stage on Thursday. Treasuries and the Dollar were higher, while stocks, commodities and the Euro were lower. Gold followed the stock market again. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) broke triangle support with a sharp decline over the last two days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Breaks Support with Triangle as TLT Challenges Resistance

by Arthur Hill

With the US Dollar Fund (UUP) hitting its highest level of the month and the 20+ year Bond ETF (TLT) on the verge of a breakout, it is little wonder stocks finally succumbed to some selling pressure... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ADP, AMZN, CTAS, INTU, JDSU, MON, SYMC

by Arthur Hill

AMZN Forms Rising Wedge in Gap Zone. The Triangle Noose Tightens for CTAS. SYMC Consolidates after Sharp Decline. Plus ADP, INTU, JDSU, MON This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Remains Rangebound as UUP and TLT Strengthen

by Arthur Hill

Even though the Euro and Treasuries surged off support over the last two days, stocks are holding up and oil remains near $100. It is a paradox and something needs to give here... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Falls Short of Prior High as TLT and UUP Bounce off Support

by Arthur Hill

The price swings are getting shorter as the triangle tightens in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY). While it is hard to act on every swing within the triangle, this is the only way to anticipate the triangle breakout... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ADBE, APOL, FISV, GCI, ISIL, PG, SCHL

by Arthur Hill

ADBE forms Rising Wedge after Big Gap Down. GCI Hits Resistance at Key Retracement. PG Consolidates at Trendline Support. Plus APOL, FISV, ISIL, SCHL This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

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SPY Holds Support at a Triangle Takes Shape

by Arthur Hill

As noted on Friday, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is in a medium-term uptrend after the October breakout in the 122-124 area. Broken resistance turns into support and the ETF tested this support zone with sharp declines in November... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Consolidate as Surging Oil Prices Weigh on Treasuries

by Arthur Hill

Technically, SPY is in a medium-term uptrend after the October breakout in the 122-124 area. This breakout can be seen on the daily chart below. Broken resistance turns into support and the ETF is currently testing this support zone with two declines into the 122-124 area... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Remains Bullish as Breakouts Hold

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the indicator summary as the October breakouts continue to hold. Even though the stock market got shook pretty hard last week and this week, these breakouts are still holding. We cannot question a breakout unless there is a move back below broken resistance... Read More 

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SPY Gaps Down Big as UUP Breaks Flag Resistance

by Arthur Hill

Global equities remain tethered to the Euro and the outlook for the European debt dilemma. Even though a big ocean separates the US from Europe, US traders and investors should keep an eye on the spread between German bond yields and other bond yields, namely Italian and Spanish... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: EXPD, GE, JBHT, IGT, PLCE

by Arthur Hill

IGT Forms Large Shooting Star. JBHT Hits Resistance at 61.80% Retracement. PLCE Declines from Resistance on High Volume. Plus EXPD and GE This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Breaks Consolidation as UUP Remains in Bull Flag

by Arthur Hill

As noted yesterday, the medium-term trend was up because of the resistance breakout in October. This breakout can be seen on a daily chart. Broken resistance in the 122-124 area turned into support and held after the Throwback... Read More 

Art's Charts

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QQQ and USO Break Flag Resistance

by Arthur Hill

Even though SPY formed a bearish rising flag after the plunge to 122, the ETF has yet to break support as a flat consolidation formed the last few days. The ETF broke below the lower trendline of the rising flag on Friday, but quickly rebounded to establish support at 124... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts: AMKR, BSX, COST, KGC, MDT, NVDA, SWKS, WNR

by Arthur Hill

AMKR Forms Ascending Triangle. COST Consolidates Near Resistance. SWKS Breaks Flag Trendline with high Volume. Plus BSX, KGC, MDT, NVDA, WNR This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Nasdaq Weighs on Indicator Summary

by Arthur Hill

The indicator summary remains positive, but breadth is split with the Nasdaq showing less strength. After some weakness early in the week, stocks rebounded on Wednesday-Thursday and the major index ETFs are largely holding their October breakouts... Read More 

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TLT and UUP Form Bullish Continuation Patterns

by Arthur Hill

And now for the employment report...Friday's market is at the mercy of the employment report, or rather Wall Street's reaction to the report. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) bounced off medium-term support in the 122-124 area with a move above 126 the last few days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Gold Holds Support as Bonds and the Dollar Surge

by Arthur Hill

A couple of wrenches, which were thrown out of left field, landed in the flywheel on Monday and Tuesday. While I am not sure the MF Global debacle and Greek referendum are totally to blame for the two day meltdown, there is no questioning the extent of recent selling pressure... Read More 

Art's Charts

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QQQ and IWM Consolidated at Support with Rising Flags

by Arthur Hill

The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) broke support with a gap down and then consolidated around 122-124. This zone marks support on the daily chart. Broken resistance from the late August and mid September peaks turns support on this chart... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: DELL, FNSR, MRVL, PEP, SBUX, WFC

by Arthur Hill

FNSR Breaks Wedge Trendline with Volume. PEP Consolidates after Surge. SBUX Gaps Down and the Gap Remains Unfilled. Plus DELL, MRVL, WFC This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More