The Canadian Technician

Three Weddings and a Funeral

Greg Schnell

Greg Schnell

Chief Technical Analyst, Osprey Strategic

I like this chart when it is going up. Today scares me a bit.

This is my wall of worry chart. As you can tell, it is my comment or mood board. Let's call it overannotated. I try not to delete stuff even if I'm wrong. Today thats a good thing. 

One of my comments when this chart broke down before was full of caution and the blip ended up being for a couple of weeks. Lets hope this is the same. But hope is nota, repeat nota, trading strategy. 

Keep your eyes on the bond/ T-Bill  market. This looks distressing.

$IRX 20121214

I recognize you can't read it at this level. SO click on the chart and go to the original to read my notes. I thought of just wiping the slate and sending you this chart with one annotation. I think the historical document is way more valuable so you will have to click through for clarity.

I really want the action to turn back up and get support right away.

You'll notice in 2011, the $SPX rallied till the end of April. This chart was already in plunge mode for months.

Yucch!

The reason for my title? I wrote three bullish blogs this week. Look at what happened this week on this chart! Looks like a funeral. 

On a positive note, the 5,10,30 bond yields rose this week and are testing topside breakouts. That should be bullish for stocks. It should tell a story one way or the other. If all the charts pointed the same way, there would be no indecision.

Good Trading,

Greg Schnell, CMT.

 

Greg Schnell
About the author: , CMT, MFTA is Chief Technical Analyst at Osprey Strategic specializing in intermarket and commodities analysis. He is also the co-author of Stock Charts For Dummies (Wiley, 2018). Based in Calgary, Greg is a board member of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA) and the chairman of the CSTA Calgary chapter. He is an active member of both the CMT Association and the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA). Learn More