The Canadian Technician

The Canadian Dollar

Greg Schnell

Greg Schnell

Chief Technical Analyst, Osprey Strategic

The Canadian dollar is a strong tracker of $WTIC. If oil pulls back here, the Canadian dollar could as well.

$CDW 121611

This top chart does not have the Fibonacci levels. The one below does. You can see how the Fib levels help you find other areas of support on the chart.

I'm staying with the ranges posted at the end of the last quarter.

Double top level = 106

Intermediate ceiling =101

Major resistance =98

The Fib Levels, drawn on the chart  below come in at 95,91,88

Support = 92.50

 

 

That 95 fib has been hit twice so it is becoming good support.

$CDW 121711

A break of support looks painful in the $CDW.

$WTIC dropped below it's 200 DMA or 40 Week MA this week. That is of concern.

Bottom line. Price of oil will direct the looney toonies.

Here is a line chart of $WTIC weekly

$WTIC 121611

Here is the crude chart with the Cdn $ in Red. Looks like the currency market has already priced in a lower price of oil.

$CDW 121611 $WTIC

Booking a US Vacation? Check the price of crude oil.

 

Good trading,

 

 

Greg Schnell, CMT

 

Greg Schnell
About the author: , CMT, MFTA is Chief Technical Analyst at Osprey Strategic specializing in intermarket and commodities analysis. He is also the co-author of Stock Charts For Dummies (Wiley, 2018). Based in Calgary, Greg is a board member of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA) and the chairman of the CSTA Calgary chapter. He is an active member of both the CMT Association and the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA). Learn More