The Canadian Technician

A Drip or A Drop?

Greg Schnell

Greg Schnell

Chief Technical Analyst, Osprey Strategic

As investors start huddling into the mega-cap techs, there is a lot of churn underneath the surface. I am particularly interested in the new commodity bull market and a couple of specific charts within.

In the world of Copper, the momentum seems to be stalling after reaching the highest level in 10 years shown by the PPO. It has been an awesome run. A pullback to $3.30 could be expected and still maintain a trend of higher highs and higher lows. The extreme momentum level suggests caution, at least.

The second one is crude oil. While I fully expect crude oil to blow through this level in 2021, the oil names have been stalling as crude oil reaches this junction. Horizontal resistance is at $54 and downward trend line resistance is at $55. The momentum indicator is at the highest level in 10 years. While the oil price is trading in the low 50's, even a slow grind higher will probably roll over the momentum indicator for a while.

I do want to be a buyer of related stocks on a pullback, but it might be time for copper and oil investors to let the price drip a little lower before looking at the next wave higher.

Good trading,
Greg Schnell, CMT, MFTA
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Author, Stock Charts For Dummies


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Greg Schnell
About the author: , CMT, MFTA is Chief Technical Analyst at Osprey Strategic specializing in intermarket and commodities analysis. He is also the co-author of Stock Charts For Dummies (Wiley, 2018). Based in Calgary, Greg is a board member of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA) and the chairman of the CSTA Calgary chapter. He is an active member of both the CMT Association and the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA). Learn More