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OVERBOUGHT AND BULLISH

Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill

Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com

Even thought the Dow Diamonds (DIA) is overbought medium-term, the recent breakout is short-term bullish and this breakout is holding. On the daily chart, DIA broke above flag resistance with a surge on Monday. This move pushed CCI above 100 to turn momentum overbought. Even so, I would consider the trend both overbought and strong as long as CCI holds above 100. Notice how CCI bounced off the zero area in late May. Medium-term momentum should be considered bullish as long as CCI stays positive.

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The second chart shows 60-minute candlesticks to focus on the recent breakout. This chart features a consolidation, a breakout and a support zone (yellow area). A key tenet of technical analysis is that broken resistance turns into support. In other words, a strong breakout should hold. Failure to hold this breakout and a move below the yellow support zone would be short-term bearish. As such, this is the first support area to watch for signs of a trend change.

Arthur Hill
About the author: , CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London. Learn More